How Long Will Trump Last?


Will Trump, our future president, wind up being a one-term president, or will he go the distance and get two? Or will something different happen?

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“I ate his liver, with some fava beans and a nice Chianti. It was the best, most amazing dinner ever. Truly great.”

So here’s my guess: I think Trump is out before the end of 2019.

Now, why do I think this?

I think this because most Republicans would much rather have Mike Pence in office, and while currently Trump is riding a bit of a wave of success, there is no reason at all to think that will last. If he goes through with his various plans, it’s probable that the recession we’re statistically likely to experience will be much, much worse. When that happens, who will everyone blame? Exactly.

Don’t get me wrong: I loathe Pence and everything he represents. I think he’s a fundamentally bad person because he favors torturing gay people. There’s almost nothing good about him. Almost.

The one good thing is that he’s a mainstream politician. He’s interested in votes, and he’s interested in helping the Republican party. Trump likes votes, but doesn’t owe anything at all to the party. Thus, they’ll be happy to abandon him for someone else as soon as they have a chance.

Trump’s administration is already well-set to be a very corrupt one, starting at the top and going down from there. When it comes time for the Republican party to oust him (either impeachment or forcing him to resign), it’ll happen because of that. And then they’ll right the ship and breathe a sigh of relief.

In fact, this might even be good for the party, because even though it increases the likelihood of a Democrat winning the presidency in 2020, it does a great job of making the Republicans look like people who are willing to put country before party. That’ll sell well with the voters.

Of course this won’t end the terrible things that Trump has brought to the body politic. But I’ll bet something like this is what happens, just you wait.

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